Acadia Healthcare Valuation

ACHC Stock  USD 15.53  1.87  13.69%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Acadia Healthcare shows a prevailing Real Value of $15.83 per share. The current price of the firm is $15.53. Our model approximates the value of Acadia Healthcare from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.03 %, and Return On Equity of 0.0369 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Acadia Healthcare's valuation include:
Price Book
0.3913
Enterprise Value
3.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
7.7484
Price Sales
0.3783
Forward PE
6.5617
Fairly Valued
Today
15.53
Please note that Acadia Healthcare's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Acadia Healthcare is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Acadia Healthcare's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Acadia Healthcare is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Acadia Stock. However, Acadia Healthcare's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  15.53 Real  15.83 Target  19.07 Hype  15.54
The real value of Acadia Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Acadia Healthcare Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Acadia Healthcare's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Acadia Healthcare's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
15.83
Real Value
20.51
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Acadia Healthcare helps investors to forecast how Acadia stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Acadia Healthcare more accurately as focusing exclusively on Acadia Healthcare's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.300.440.61
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8615.5420.22
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
17.3519.0721.17
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Acadia Healthcare's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Acadia Healthcare's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Acadia Healthcare's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Acadia Healthcare we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Acadia Healthcare Cash

94.59 Million

Acadia Healthcare Total Value Analysis

Acadia Healthcare is presently forecasted to have valuation of 3.53 B with market capitalization of 1.24 B, debt of 2.09 B, and cash on hands of 128.37 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Acadia Healthcare fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
3.53 B
1.24 B
2.09 B
128.37 M

Acadia Healthcare Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.39. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Acadia Healthcare has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.32. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:4 split on the 1st of November 2011. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Acadia Healthcare's historical financial statements, Acadia Healthcare is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.

Acadia Healthcare Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Acadia Healthcare has an asset utilization ratio of 52.95 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.53 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Acadia Healthcare is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Acadia Healthcare Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Acadia Healthcare's financial statements, Acadia Healthcare is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Acadia Healthcare's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2010-06-30
Previous Quarter
30.1 M
Current Value
36.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
120.5 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, Acadia Healthcare's Pretax Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.1, whereas Operating Profit Margin is forecasted to decline to 0.13.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.380.2
Way Up
Pretty Stable
For Acadia Healthcare profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Acadia Healthcare to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Acadia Healthcare utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Acadia Healthcare's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Acadia Healthcare over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Acadia Healthcare Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Acadia Healthcare is estimated to be 0.435375 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.3025 to a high of 0.6125. Acadia Healthcare's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.17. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Acadia Healthcare is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Acadia Healthcare is projected to generate 0.435375 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Acadia Healthcare earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Acadia Healthcare EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Acadia Healthcare's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Acadia Healthcare, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Acadia Healthcare Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Acadia Healthcare's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Acadia Healthcare is estimated to be 0.435375 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.3025 to a high of 0.6125. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Acadia Healthcare is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.30
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.435375
0.61
Highest

Acadia Healthcare Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Acadia Healthcare's value are higher than the current market price of the Acadia Healthcare stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Acadia Healthcare is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Acadia Healthcare's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1484.95%
0.0
0.435375
1.17

Acadia Healthcare Ownership Allocation

The majority of Acadia Healthcare outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Acadia Healthcare to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Acadia Healthcare. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Acadia Healthcare as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Acadia Healthcare Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.15 B. Net Income was 264.48 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.36 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Acadia Healthcare's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Acadia Healthcare and how it compares across the competition.

About Acadia Healthcare Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Acadia Healthcare's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Acadia Healthcare. We calculate exposure to Acadia Healthcare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Acadia Healthcare's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit818.8 MB
Pretax Profit Margin 0.10  0.10 
Operating Profit Margin 0.15  0.13 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.20  0.38 

Acadia Healthcare Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding92.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.459
Forward Price Earnings6.5617

Acadia Healthcare Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Acadia Healthcare and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Acadia we look at many different elements of the entity such as Acadia's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Acadia Healthcare, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Acadia Healthcare's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Acadia Healthcare's worth.

Complementary Tools for Acadia Stock analysis

When running Acadia Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Acadia Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acadia Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Acadia Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acadia Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acadia Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acadia Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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